9.5% ROI From 5,900+ Bets In 6 Months

Charlie went from losing money on weekend AFL multis to $25,600 profit across 5,944 bets in just six months of top-down EV betting. Starting with no EV experience, he built his own filters across Positive EV, Benchmark EV, Line Out EV and Smart Money, and achieved a 9.5% ROI and 6.7% CLV with only a 40.4% win rate.

Charlie had been betting since he turned 18. Like most Aussie punters, that meant AFL multis and racing on the weekend, doing his own research and trying to pick winners. It was fun, but it never made him money long term.

That changed when he started following BetSniper on Twitter during the AFL season. After a few of our tips landed, he took up the free 7-day trial in late May. He made around $200 in his first week, which paid for his subscription before the trial had even finished.

Charlie had heard of EV betting but had never properly learnt it, and he was worried it would be too complicated. With the Getting Started Guide, the tool videos and the Discord community, he got up to speed quickly. Six months later, he runs a fully mathematical, top-down strategy. He bets on NFL, soccer, tennis, Euro League basketball and esports, most of which he admits he knows nothing about. As he puts it, EV is EV.

His results speak for themselves:

• $25,600 profit from $270,200 staked across 5,944 bets

• 9.5% ROI and 6.7% average CLV

• 12.3% average EV

• 40.4% win rate

• $5,375 profit in September and $11,726 in the first two weeks of October alone

Charlie’s biggest jump came after he slowly increased his unit size and started leaning into EV multis and high-odds Smart Money bets. He was comfortable riding out runs of five or six losses, knowing one or two big hits would put him back in the green.

In this interview, Charlie walks through his Bet Tracker and shares:

• His exact filters for Positive EV, Benchmark EV and Line Out EV

• How he stakes high-odds bets

• How he handles overnight games

• Why a win rate under 50% can still deliver one of the strongest ROIs we’ve seen

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We recorded this video mid-way through October, Charlie gave us an update at the end of October as he had a massive month.

He ended up making over $20,000 profit for the month of October.

He has been able to scale up his staking very quickly as he has been able to get a ton of volume down.